The Value of Certainty, Part 1

May 24, 2009

ADS by FUSION

You’re on your way to the office when you pass by a tiny shop you’ve never noticed before. It happens to you quite a bit actually, though normally by the time you even consider going in, your inertia has already carried you too far past it for you to change course. This time it’s different; something about this place is calling out to you. You impulsively double back and walk through the door.

Inside is a figure sitting at a round table. His hands rest on its surface, palms facing upward as if he were about to make the universal gesture for “come in.” The way the place is lit, the only other part of him you can see is the lower half of his face. Suddenly you’re having second thoughts about your decision, but you sit down at the table anyway.

The figure tells you it’s your unlucky day — you have to make a choice between two options and neither are pleasant:

Option A

He casts a spell on you that, for the next three months, makes everything you eat taste like your least favorite food. Afterwards, things will return to normal. If you choose this option, you’ll have a week to prepare before the spell takes effect.

Option B

He does nothing. You go about your usual business, but you’ll have a somewhat increased chance of contracting severe food poisoning from everything you eat. If this happens, the only cure is to have him perform the same spell from Option A, except this time around, the spell lasts six months, possibly longer.


Which would you choose, and why? I’d love to hear your response in the comments. I’ll follow up in a few days with something less hypothetical.

Continued in Part 2

Jan 2008

Feb

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51 ways to change your life

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Mar

Routines for Creativity

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Apr

May

Jun

Jul

The Illness

A quick hypothetical.

Aug

Working Life

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Sep

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Idea: Judge books by their cover

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On Permanence

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Maxing out Your Triangle

Rethinking work-hard/play-hard.

Dec

Time on Your Side

On conquering intimidating to-do lists.

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Jan 2009

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An operating strategy for years to come.

In Praise of Lo-Fi

Contemplations at 30,000 feet.

Feb

Mar

Denial

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Apr

Steepster

On tea and tech.

Doing the Dishes

...and liking it.

May

Jun

The Value of Certainty, Part 2

And the definition of risk.

Jul

Aug

Sep

30 Minutes a Day

How to make long-term memory work in your favor.

Oct

Nov

Roulette

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Dec

Jan 2010

More Fun at MJR

On local theaters and participation hooks.

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul